02 · Daily Card
Tuesday, April 14, 2026
Record
3-1
Picks
4
P&L
+1.08u
CLV
—
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
WSN @ PIT
Under 9Total
21.4%
—
Bad Bet
Model total: 8.7 vs line 9.0 (-0.3 runs)
BOS @ MIN
MIN MLML
20.8%
—
Got Lucky
Pitching disadvantage but value in price: Mick Abel (20) vs Sonny Gray (27) | Bullpen edge: MIN pen fresh (16), BOS taxed (1) | MIN hot: 69% last 14 days | Model 55% vs market 44% (+20.8% EV)
TBR @ CHW
Over 7.5Total
19.4%
—
Got Lucky
Model total: 9.1 vs line 7.5 (+1.6 runs) | Weak SPs: Shane McClanahan (24) vs Noah Schultz (23) | Both bullpens taxed (CHW 1, TBR 12)
CLE @ STL
STL MLML
11.4%
—
Got Lucky
Even pitching: Michael McGreevy (27) vs Joey Cantillo (29) | Bullpen concern: STL pen depleted (1) but model still sees value | Model 55% vs market 48% (+11.4% EV)