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closerbetsalpha

01 · Track Record

Every settled pick, since day one.

Tracking since Apr 9, 2026. Updated nightly after results settle. ROI and P&L use a 1-unit stake convention; CLV is the average gap between our entry price and the closing line — the leading indicator of long-term edge.

ROI
+7.14%
P&L
+3.25u
Record
44-47
CLV
+1.43%
Max DD
-4.6u
Sample
91 picks
Best day: +1.93u on Apr 9 (3 picks)
Worst day: -1.5u on Apr 18 (3 picks)

Cumulative P&L

Since inception · units · with drawdown shading

2026-04-09current: +3.3u2026-06-06

Daily P&L

One bar per settled day · units

By market

Where the edge is coming from

Market
Picks
Record (W-L-P)
Win Rate
P&L
ML
58
26-32
44.8%
+2.07u
Total
38
18-15
54.5%
+1.18u
Total
+3.25u

Pick history

96 settled picks · most recent first

Date
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
P&L
Jun 6
TBR @ MIA
MIA MLML
16.8%
+3.2%
+0.62u
May 27
PHI @ SDP
SDP MLML
16.7%
+2.3%
-0.5u
May 26
NYY @ KCR
KCR MLML
12.0%
+1.3%
-0.5u
May 24
TEX @ LAA
TEX MLML
10.5%
-1.0%
-0.5u
May 20
ATL @ MIA
MIA MLML
10.5%
+2.3%
-0.5u
May 18
MIL @ CHC
MIL MLML
14.9%
+0.9%
+0.7u
May 16
MIL @ MIN
MIL MLML
10.0%
+2.0%
+0.42u
May 16
SDP @ SEA
SDP MLML
10.1%
-0.9%
+0.7u
May 16
PHI @ PIT
PIT MLML
14.1%
+1.6%
-0.5u
May 15
MIL @ MIN
MIL MLML
12.3%
+0.5%
+0.47u
May 13
PHI @ BOS
PHI MLML
13.2%
+1.1%
-0.5u
May 13
CHC @ ATL
ATL MLML
22.3%
+1.3%
+0.61u
May 9
DET @ KCR
DET MLML
16.4%
+0.0%
-0.5u
May 7
CLE @ KCR
CLE MLML
11.2%
+3.0%
+0.62u
May 7
CIN @ CHC
CIN MLML
10.3%
+0.0%
-0.5u
May 6
ATL @ SEA
ATL MLML
10.4%
+1.3%
-0.5u
May 6
LAD @ HOU
HOU MLML
11.6%
+0.0%
-0.5u
May 6
TOR @ TBR
TOR MLML
10.2%
+1.1%
-0.5u
May 5
BOS @ DET
BOS MLML
10.3%
+5.2%
+0.77u
May 4
BAL @ NYY
BAL MLML
14.0%
+0.6%
-0.5u
May 4
CIN @ CHC
CIN MLML
12.5%
+0.0%
-0.5u
May 4
BOS @ DET
BOS MLML
20.0%
+21.2%
+1u
May 3
BAL @ NYY
BAL MLML
12.0%
-5.4%
-0.5u
Apr 30
STL @ PIT
STL MLML
14.0%
+0.0%
+0.93u
Apr 30
WSN @ NYM
WSN MLML
12.0%
+1.3%
+0.9u
Apr 29
TBR @ CLE
Over 6.5Total
19.5%
—
+0u
Apr 29
CHC @ SDP
Under 9Total
26.4%
—
+0u
Apr 29
MIA @ LAD
Under 8Total
16.8%
—
+0u
Apr 28
HOU @ BAL
Under 9Total
26.1%
+0.0%
+0.48u
Apr 28
COL @ CIN
Under 9Total
12.3%
—
+0u
Apr 28
DET @ ATL
Under 9Total
18.2%
—
+0u
Apr 27
LAA @ CHW
Under 9Total
28.2%
—
-0.5u
Apr 27
STL @ PIT
Under 8Total
16.2%
+1.4%
+0.49u
Apr 27
STL @ PIT
PIT MLML
16.1%
-0.8%
-0.5u
Apr 26
SDP @ ARI
Under 15.5Total
65.8%
+0.0%
-0.5u
Apr 26
PHI @ ATL
PHI MLML
15.9%
+0.0%
-0.5u
Apr 26
MIN @ TBR
MIN MLML
11.4%
+0.8%
-0.5u
Apr 26
CHC @ LAD
Under 9Total
20.2%
+2.6%
+0.45u
Apr 25
SDP @ ARI
Under 15.5Total
65.1%
—
+0.49u
Apr 25
CHC @ LAD
Under 9.5Total
19.6%
—
-0.5u
Apr 25
LAA @ KCR
LAA MLML
20.7%
—
-0.5u
Apr 24
PHI @ ATL
Under 9Total
22.4%
+1.2%
+0.48u
Apr 24
PIT @ MIL
MIL MLML
17.2%
+4.1%
-0.5u
Apr 24
CLE @ TOR
TOR MLML
15.2%
+1.2%
-0.5u
Apr 23
MIL @ DET
MIL MLML
17.5%
-0.5%
-0.5u
Apr 23
ATL @ WSN
ATL MLML
8.1%
+0.4%
+0.37u
Apr 22
NYY @ BOS
Over 7.5Total
15.0%
-2.3%
-0.5u
Apr 22
HOU @ CLE
HOU MLML
13.4%
+0.0%
+0.68u
Apr 22
TOR @ LAA
TOR MLML
12.0%
+0.0%
-0.5u
Apr 21
STL @ MIA
MIA MLML
17.5%
+2.1%
-0.5u
Apr 21
BAL @ KCR
Under 9Total
17.3%
+1.1%
-0.5u
Apr 21
NYY @ BOS
NYY MLML
18.9%
+1.2%
+0.52u
Apr 20
BAL @ KCR
BAL MLML
25.0%
+0.0%
+0.43u
Apr 20
PHI @ CHC
Under 7.5Total
26.8%
+1.2%
+0.5u
Apr 20
HOU @ CLE
Under 7.5Total
61.7%
+1.1%
-0.5u
Apr 20
STL @ MIA
MIA MLML
25.4%
+0.7%
+0.38u
Apr 19
LAD @ COL
COL MLML
19.3%
+6.9%
+1.18u
Apr 19
TEX @ SEA
TEX MLML
16.8%
+1.6%
-0.5u
Apr 19
DET @ BOS
Over 7Total
17.1%
+1.1%
+0.45u
Apr 19
CHW @ ATH
Under 9Total
16.1%
+4.1%
-0.5u
Apr 18
CHW @ ATH
Under 9Total
19.1%
+0.0%
-0.5u
Apr 18
CIN @ MIN
MIN MLML
6.9%
+0.0%
-0.5u
Apr 18
DET @ BOS
Over 7Total
27.5%
+4.5%
-0.5u
Apr 17
SFG @ WSN
WSN MLML
8.1%
+1.1%
-0.5u
Apr 17
NYM @ CHC
Under 10.5Total
25.6%
-0.2%
-0.5u
Apr 17
ATL @ PHI
Under 9.5Total
13.2%
+3.3%
+0.48u
Apr 17
DET @ BOS
DET MLML
21.2%
+1.2%
-0.5u
Apr 16
SFG @ CIN
Under 8Total
8.8%
+3.3%
+0.48u
Apr 16
TBR @ CHW
Under 8Total
8.9%
+3.0%
-0.5u
Apr 16
LAA @ NYY
LAA MLML
36.6%
-1.4%
+1.12u
Apr 15
LAA @ NYY
LAA MLML
10.9%
—
-0.5u
Apr 15
WSN @ PIT
Under 9Total
18.9%
—
+0.52u
Apr 15
ARI @ BAL
Under 9Total
19.3%
—
-0.5u
Apr 15
ARI @ BAL
ARI MLML
18.8%
—
+0.7u
Apr 14
BOS @ MIN
MIN MLML
20.8%
—
+0.59u
Apr 14
WSN @ PIT
Under 9Total
21.4%
—
-0.5u
Apr 14
CLE @ STL
STL MLML
11.4%
—
+0.51u
Apr 14
TBR @ CHW
Over 7.5Total
19.4%
—
+0.48u
Apr 13
BOS @ MIN
Over 7.5Total
19.3%
—
+0.51u
Apr 13
BOS @ MIN
MIN MLML
33.5%
—
+0.71u
Apr 13
CHC @ PHI
CHC MLML
16.6%
—
-0.5u
Apr 13
WSN @ PIT
Over 7.5Total
16.6%
—
+0.51u
Apr 12
MIA @ DET
Over 6Total
33.6%
—
+0.5u
Apr 12
CLE @ ATL
CLE MLML
14.5%
—
-0.5u
Apr 12
HOU @ SEA
HOU MLML
15.0%
—
-0.5u
Apr 12
PIT @ CHC
Under 12.5Total
62.1%
—
-0.5u
Apr 11
MIN @ TOR
TOR MLML
16.5%
—
-0.5u
Apr 11
PIT @ CHC
Over 6.5Total
21.1%
—
+0.42u
Apr 11
NYY @ TBR
TBR MLML
17.6%
—
+0.84u
Apr 11
CHW @ KCR
Under 9Total
18.0%
—
+0.46u
Apr 10
WSN @ MIL
WSN MLML
7.5%
—
+0.86u
Apr 10
MIA @ DET
Under 8.5Total
10.9%
—
+0.49u
Apr 10
PIT @ CHC
Over 6.5Total
34.2%
—
-0.5u
Apr 9
CHW @ KCR
Under 9Total
19.8%
—
+0.49u
Apr 9
DET @ MIN
MIN MLML
12.1%
—
+0.58u
Apr 9
ATH @ NYY
ATH MLML
7.5%
—
+0.86u