02 · Daily Card
Monday, May 18, 2026
Record
1-0
Picks
1
P&L
+0.7u
CLV
+0.9%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
MIL @ CHC
MIL MLML
14.9%
+0.9%
Good Bet
Open+140betmgm→Confirm+139draftkings→Close+135
Milwaukee's bullpen advantage is massive with an 88 quality rating versus Chicago's dismal 25, creating a 63-point edge for the Brewers. Brandon Sproat brings superior stuff with a 3.68 xFIP compared to Shota Imanaga's 4.15, giving Milwaukee a 0.47 edge in expected pitching performance. The 14.87% expected value suggests the market is undervaluing Milwaukee despite these clear advantages.