closerbets/// MLBalpha
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02 · Daily Card

Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Record
1-0
Picks
1
P&L
+0.77u
CLV
+0.0%

Settled picks

Sorted by edge at pick time

Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
BOS @ DET
BOS MLML
10.3%
+0.0%
W
Pending
Open+155fanaticsConfirm+133draftkingsClose+133

The market severely undervalues Boston despite Jovani Morán's superior 64.20 pitcher rating versus Framber Valdez's 53.40, creating 10.27% expected value. Detroit's bullpen ranks dead last at 1/100 quality compared to Boston's 50/100, while the Red Sox defense provides a 27-run advantage with +14 OAA versus Detroit's -13.