02 · Daily Card
Thursday, April 23, 2026
Record
1-1
Picks
2
P&L
-0.13u
CLV
-0.1%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
MIL @ DET
MIL MLML
17.5%
-0.5%
Bad Bet
Open+190fanduel→Close+194
Pitching disadvantage but value in price: Brandon Sproat (below avg) vs Tarik Skubal (strong) | DET fatigued (returning from road trip) | DET hot (69%) but price compensates | Model 41% vs market 34% (+17.5% EV)
ATL @ WSN
ATL MLML
8.1%
+0.4%
Good Bet
Open-134fanduel→Close-136
Even pitching: JR Ritchie (average) vs Cade Cavalli (average) | Bullpen edge: ATL pen fully rested, WSN exhausted | WSN fatigued (returning from road trip) | ATL hot: 75% last 14 days | Model 62% vs market (+8.1% EV)