02 · Daily Card
Friday, April 17, 2026
Record
1-3
Picks
4
P&L
-1.02u
CLV
+1.4%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
NYM @ CHC
Under 10.5Total
25.6%
-0.2%
Bad Bet
Open-108draftkings→Close-107
Model total: 9.3 vs line 10.5 (-1.2 runs)
DET @ BOS
DET MLML
21.2%
+1.2%
Unlucky
Open+110betmgm→Close+105
Pitching advantage: Casey Mize (42) over Ranger Suarez (34) | Bullpen edge: DET pen fresh (56), BOS taxed (1) | DET on 6W streak | Cold (48°F) — pitcher-friendly conditions | Model 58% vs market 46% (+21.2% EV)
ATL @ PHI
Under 9.5Total
13.2%
+3.3%
Good Bet
Open-105fanatics→Close-120
Model total: 8.9 vs line 9.5 (-0.6 runs) | Fresh bullpens (PHI 95, ATL 83)
SFG @ WSN
WSN MLML
8.1%
+1.1%
Unlucky
Open+136fanduel→Close+130
Even pitching: Zack Littell (33) vs Logan Webb (37) | Price value play: model near 50/50 (46%) but price is off (+8.1% EV)